Regular listeners of our podcast know my (Scott) conundrum. My three forwards are Harry Kane, Sergio Aguero, and Jordan Ayew. Even if you don't also own all three, you likely own one of them. What should you do for replacements? Great question. I'm hoping writing out my thoughts will help me decide.
The Rest of the Top 5:
Kane and Aguero have scored the most points at forward so far all season. The rest of the top 5 consists of Roberto Firmino, Romelu Lukaku, and Jamie Vardy. All three are in decent form and finding regular playing time, but there is also something to dislike about each one.
Firmino's points come in streaks. He's just as likely to score 2 than he is a 12. Alternatively, Lukaku is consistent with his 5's and 6's, but you would like him to score a brace every once in a while, too. Vardy is maybe the most appealing of the three right now. He's coming off a 13 against Arsenal and has a really nice set of fixtures over the next four gameweeks.
If Kane and Aguero will not play, you may consider buying their replacements. Kane's backup is Fernando Llorente...or Son. It's just as likely that Mauricio Pochettino will put Son up front as it is Llorente off the bench. That makes Llorente a non-option.
When Aguero sits, Gabriel Jesus usually replaces him. Jesus might be a legitimate option. Now it's just a question of how long Aguero is actually out. Even now, FPL gives Sergio a 50% chance of playing this next weekend. Pep's inability to accurately gauge the length of injury spells this season might make you keep Aguero for now.
Bargain Bin Options:
This is the point of the season where you can find some good, cheap options in the bargain bin. One of the biggest surprises all season has been Brighton forward Glenn Murray. Murray's next three opponents makes him appealing as a rental until Kane returns.
Ashley Barnes' last three matches have been good, and he's near the top in overall form at his position. He also has three good fixtures coming up. On our podcast, we have talked a lot about forward rotation on the Burnley squad, but his minutes played are consistent. He's another option. Crazily, he's more than 7 pounds cheaper than Kane.
No one has had a better three-match stretch than Cenk Tosun. You would have to assume he is a staple now in the Everton lineup. However, before you rush to buy him, take a look at Everton's upcoming schedule: Man City and Liverpool. You might want to wait a couple of weeks to buy Tosun.
Everyone else feels like a risk. Sure, Alvaro Morata could re-find his form, but do you think he will? Yes, Olivier Giroud has a brace off the bench in his boots, but will he score one next weekend? Marcus Rashford has the same potential, but will he even play in United's next match?
Then you have the relegation clubs' forwards. Christian Benteke is scoring assists, but could you do better than that? Salomon Rondon might score a goal for the Baggies, but so might Jay Rodriguez. None of the Cherries' forwards have lived up to expectations this year; do you expect anything different moving forward?
So many options. So few weeks left in the season. Now is not the time to make a wrong decision at the forward position.
It would be nice if these injuries hadn't happened. But it wouldn't be an FPL season without some turmoil. It will only make the victory that much sweeter.